Author Archives: JeroldDuquette

About JeroldDuquette

Jerold Duquette is an associate professor of political science at Central Connecticut State University. He is the author of Regulating the National Pastime: Baseball and Antitrust and has published articles and book chapters on campaign finance reform, political parties, Massachusetts politics and political culture, public opinion, and political socialization. Professor Duquette lives in Longmeadow, MA with his wife and four children.

Early Guv Race Polls Survey the Wrong Population

As far as I’m concerned the public polls to date on the Massachusetts governor’s race are little more than practice sessions for the pollsters, who use these preliminary surveys to fine tune their operations. Nothing in these polls is (or should be) impacting the game plans of any of the viable candidates in the race. As predictors of performance, I’d say these early polls are probably about as useful as the seeding’s in this year’s NCAA Tournament.

Posted in Mass Politics, Political Analysis in the Media | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Another tactical mistake by Brown or ill-advised Sununu ad lib?

Has Scott Brown’s hired the same folks for his latest senate bid who counseled him to mock Elizabeth Warren at every opportunity by calling her “professor?” It sure looks that way.

Posted in New Hampshire Politics, U.S. Politics | Tagged , , , , | 4 Comments

Driver’s Licenses for Undocumented Immigrants

A few weeks back I criticized a Joe Battenfeld column in which he argued that the issue of driver’s licenses for illegal immigrants would be “a gift” to Charlie Baker. In that post I implied that it may actually be more useful to the Democratic candidate(s) for governor. Thanks to some insightful analysis by Professor Cunningham, I’m having second thoughts about that.

Posted in Mass Politics, Political Analysis in the Media | Tagged , , , , | 6 Comments

Berwick’s staff shakeup is not surprising.

The decision of Don Berwick’s campaign manager to leave the campaign may well be simply a case of Luke Quandt taking a career opportunity when it presented itself. His decision to take a job with a Democratic consulting firm could have been a time sensitive offer he couldn’t refuse. However, if he were the campaign manager for a candidate with a realistic shot at the Democratic nomination for governor, such an offer would surely not have been too good to pass up.

Posted in Mass Politics | Tagged , , , , | 2 Comments

Would a primary against Fisher help Charlie Baker?

Former Governor Bill Weld, who is now serving as an advisor to Charlie Baker’s campaign for the corner office, thinks that a primary contest with ultra-conservative candidate Mark Fisher would improve the Republican nominee’s chances of winning in the fall. The idea is that Baker would benefit from the comparison between his moderate managerial competence approach and Fisher’s rigid ideological extremism. Is Weld right about this? If he is right, should he counsel his gubernatorial mentee to publicly urge the MassGOP to allow Mr. Fisher’s name to appear on the primary ballot?

Posted in Mass Politics, Political Science | Tagged , , , , , | 12 Comments

Battling Press Releases

On the eve of the MassGOP convention both state party organizations have fired off press releases aimed at rallying the troops at the other party’s expense.

Posted in Mass Politics | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Brown’s misstep might show Democrats the way forward

Public opinion polling data indicates that the American people have quite a few misgivings about the law known as “Obamacare.” So much so that the Republicans have decided to make opposition to what is actually called the Affordable Care Act the linchpin of their national strategy to take control of the US Senate. What Scott Brown is quickly finding out is that this tactic is not going to be quite as useful in New Hampshire as it figures to be in Louisiana, for example. What national Republicans are finding out is that Scott Brown may not be quite as useful for their purposes either.

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Gamble would hurt Baker, but would it pay off for Brown?

If an increasingly partisan electorate, motivated by national partisan cues, is “bad news” for Charlie Baker’s campaign, then I suppose it must be good news for Scott Brown’s fledgling Senate bid in New Hampshire. Of course, I also suppose that Brown’s good news makes Baker’s bad news even worse. Keeping the good news and bad news straight is getting tricky.

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Scott the Explorer

Scott Brown has formed an exploratory committee and has discovered that his chances of winning a non-special US Senate election in New Hampshire, while better than they were in Massachusetts, are still pretty slim.

Posted in U.S. Politics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Charlie Baker and licenses for “illegals”

The Herald’s Joe Battenfeld makes the case that recent efforts to promote the issuance of driver’s licenses to undocumented immigrants (along with Martha Coakley’s apparent vacillation on the issue) are a 2014 election gift to the presumptive Republican nominee for governor, Charlie Baker. The argument is simple. This issue could help Baker energize cultural conservatives and, thanks to Martha Coakley’s evolving stance, it would give him ammunition to use against the AG in the fall campaign. While this analysis seems plausible on its face, the more you consider it in the context of the 2014 election cycle the less plausible it becomes.

Posted in Mass Politics | Tagged , , , , , , | 4 Comments