Tag Archives: Steve Grossman

Early Guv Race Polls Survey the Wrong Population

As far as I’m concerned the public polls to date on the Massachusetts governor’s race are little more than practice sessions for the pollsters, who use these preliminary surveys to fine tune their operations. Nothing in these polls is (or should be) impacting the game plans of any of the viable candidates in the race. As predictors of performance, I’d say these early polls are probably about as useful as the seeding’s in this year’s NCAA Tournament.

Posted in Mass Politics, Political Analysis in the Media | Tagged , , , , , | 4 Comments

Tour de Website: Steve Grossman

Let’s continue our Tour de Website series looking for best practices on candidate web sites. Today the tour stops at the home of Steve Grossman for Governor.  There are some well-done standard features, some missed opportunities, and a real highlight.

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Charlie Baker and licenses for “illegals”

The Herald’s Joe Battenfeld makes the case that recent efforts to promote the issuance of driver’s licenses to undocumented immigrants (along with Martha Coakley’s apparent vacillation on the issue) are a 2014 election gift to the presumptive Republican nominee for governor, Charlie Baker. The argument is simple. This issue could help Baker energize cultural conservatives and, thanks to Martha Coakley’s evolving stance, it would give him ammunition to use against the AG in the fall campaign. While this analysis seems plausible on its face, the more you consider it in the context of the 2014 election cycle the less plausible it becomes.

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More on Candidate Web Sites: Kill the Splash Pages

On Tuesday I began my education into campaign websites by posting Tour de Website: Martha Coakley’s Home Page. My colleague Professor Duquette posed a good question about the annoying fundraising pop-ups on many pages. Professor Jeff Gulati, who knows more about campaign websites than just about anyone, wrote in to confirm the ubiquitous nature of contribution pop-ups. Thanks to the assistance of my ace research assistant Stephen Norris, I can offer some additional insights. Yes, contribution request “splash pages” are annoying – so annoying that they may drive visitors away from the site.

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How the 15% Rule Promotes Democracy

Professor Ubertaccio stood up for the Democratic Party’s 15% rule yesterday against the combined might of Boston Globe columnists Scot Lehigh and Joan Vennochi. Lehigh argues that the party requirement robs voters of a wider range of voices in the primary. Vennochi criticizes party insiders deciding what the people alone should determine. Professor Ubertaccio replied that in fact the caucus and convention system is a positive boon for self-government.

Let me add two additional reasons to support Professor Ubertaccio’s case. The caucus/convention system adds a counterweight in favor of the citizen versus big money influence; and the organization bolstered by the system pays off politically.

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WBUR/MassInc Polling Group Biggest Loser: #Mapoli Nation

The WBUR/MassINC Polling Group is just out with their January 2014 poll, the results are in, and the Biggest Loser is (drum roll)  . . . #Mapoli Nation!

This may seem suspect since #Mapoli is an amorphous concept; that and the fact that WBUR/MIPG didn’t ask a question about #Mapoli.

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Craps Go the Casinos?

Shirley Leung, The Boston Globe’s business columnist, provided a public service the other day by running down what all the gubernatorial candidates have to say about casinos in Massachusetts. Recent casino stories have included East Boston voting down a casino and Revere attempting to adopt it, the travails of Chairman Steve Crosby, Governor Deval Patrick suing to stop a Native American casino on Martha’s Vineyard, Repeal the Casino Deal advocates filing enough signatures to reach the ballot and preparing an effort to overturn Attorney General Martha Coakley’s disapproval of the ballot measure, and on and on. Everywhere you look there are known-knowns, known-unknowns, and politicians should fear, some unknown-unknowns.

Posted in Boston Politics, Mass Politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

News from the One Party in a One Party State

The Democrats met in convention in Lowell over the weekend amidst maneuvering by congressional candidates, committed and potential gubernatorial candidates, and politicians at lower rungs looking to move up. It’s a festival for the folks who do the ground work in the party; most of them are reliably to the left of Democrats in the electorate, not to mention the average Massachusetts voter. But the delegates represent the sinews of the party and candidate appeals reflected that fact.

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Your Next Senator Will Be . . .

Your next senator will surely be (your guess here) and that will set things up for (who knows?) to be your next governor. There is a lot of speculation about how the next two years of politics will play out and it is this sort of expert attention that boosted the successes of Governor Tom Reilly and Senator Martha Coakley, as well as the inevitable re-election of the unbeatable Senator Scott Brown.

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Political knowledge quiz

In another post I suggested that when you are reading a political story and reach the words “A spokesman for (politician X) said” you may safely ignore whatever follows. That may seem out of character with my generally sunny regard for politicians and the folks who work so hard on their behalf (I really do like them). So in order to highlight the fine work done by spokespersons, I offer the following quiz.

Posted in Mass Politics | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments