Monthly Archives: January 2012
Is it Mr. Maginn or Mr. Magoo? It’s a worthwhile question to ask as Robert Maginn generates the sort of headlines that are making him the face of the Massachusetts Republican Party. And in a year when the November ballot is likely to be headed by former governor Mitt Romney and U.S. Senator Scott Brown, that is not good.
Given all that the President laid before the feet of Congress as “necessary and expedient” in his State of the Union address, you’d think he’d have spent the rest of the week engaged in the mundane business of governing. How very quaint.
Let’s practice for the entry exam to MassPoliticsProfs University. Try to answer this one: Mitt Romney is to job creation as Michael Jordan is to _________________.
When Presidents deliver their State of the Union remarks to a Joint Session of Congress, it can be hard to determine which of their legislative proposals are “necessary and expedient.”
Last night Governor Patrick gave his State of the Commonwealth speech and chose to emphasize legislative proposals dealing with the community colleges, health care cost containment, and crime. I usually find the introduction and conclusion of such speeches a giant snooze of platitudes and self-congratulation, but last night I thought the governor said some things we should keep in mind.
Here’s an interesting take on the Republican nominating process from Nate Silver at 538 Politics, Did Gingrich’s Win Break the Paradigm? Silver considers two competing narratives. First that Romney will win the nomination because the establishment confers on him the money and organizational strength that always succeeds in the long haul and enables the establishment candidate to withstand reversals such as South Carolina. The narrative that challenges that paradigm is “this time it’s different” – 2012 is an outlier, Romney is a drab and unappealing candidate, passion runs so strongly for a strong conservative that the establishment loses and the populist outsider sweeps toward the nomination. Part of the traditional story is that a challenger in as much trouble as Newt was following New Hampshire sees his money and organizational appeal dissipate. But what has happened here is that perhaps Gingrich couldn’t raise money, but Sheldon Adelson pumped five million dollars into attacking Romney in South Carolina and that made the difference. And that means “this time it’s different.” So read the provocative article at 538 Politics.
Another primary in South Carolina has handed a Massachusetts politico a defeat. This time a stunning one.
Newt’s victory in South Carolina was good for the news media and good for Democrats who enjoy seeing intra-Republican squabbling, but not a sign that Gingrich will become the 2012 Republican nominee for president.